Tennessee vs. Ohio State CFP First Round Best Bets, Predictions & Odds – Dec. 21

Published 10:23 pm Wednesday, December 18, 2024

The College Football Playoff first round will see the No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) hosting the No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers (10-2) at 8 p.m. ET at Ohio Stadium in Columbus, Ohio. Ohio State is favored in the matchup, by 7.5 points.

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When and Where is Tennessee vs. Ohio State?

  • Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC/ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
  • City: Columbus, Ohio
  • Venue: Ohio Stadium

Tennessee vs. Ohio State Prediction & Moneyline Pick

  • Prediction: Ohio State 29, Tennessee 19
  • Ohio State is -289 on the moneyline, and Tennessee is +233.
  • Ohio State has compiled a 10-2 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 83.3% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -289 or shorter, the Buckeyes have a record of 9-1 (90%).
  • Tennessee has split the two games it has played as underdogs this season.
  • The Volunteers have played as an underdog of +233 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Buckeyes have an implied win probability of 74.3%.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS:

    Ohio State (-7.5)

  • Ohio State has six wins in 12 games versus the spread this year.
  • This season, the Buckeyes have an against the spread record of 5-5 in their 10 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
  • In 11 games played Tennessee has recorded six wins against the spread.
  • This season, the Volunteers are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.

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Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Over (46.5)
  • Ohio State and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday’s total of 46.5 points five times this season.
  • There have been six Tennessee games that have finished with a combined score higher than 46.5 points this season.
  • The total for the matchup of 46.5 is 26.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for Ohio State (35.5 points per game) and Tennessee (37.3 points per game).

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Key Stats Splits

Ohio State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.2 51.1 48.5
Implied Total AVG 37.4 40.4 31.5
ATS Record 6-6-0 4-4-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 4-4-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-2 7-1 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Tennessee

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55 56.3 53.5
Implied Total AVG 36.7 41 31.6
ATS Record 6-5-0 3-3-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-5-0 3-3-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-1 4-0 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1

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