The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at State Farm Arena, beginning at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Hawks (13-18-0 ATS) have covered the spread 41.9% of the time, 8.1% less often than the Heat (14-14-0) this season.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Atlanta (3-10) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (23.1%) than Miami (4-4) does as the underdog (50%).
• Atlanta and its opponents have eclipsed the point total 64.5% of the time this season (20 out of 31). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (15 out of 28).
• As a moneyline favorite this season, the Hawks are 7-7, a better record than the Heat have posted (4-7) as moneyline underdogs.

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks’ offense, which ranks seventh in the league with 117.2 points per game, has played better than their fourth-worst defense (119.5 points allowed per game).
• Atlanta is allowing 44 rebounds per game this season (16th-ranked in NBA), but it has shined by pulling down 46 rebounds per game (fourth-best).
• The Hawks have been racking up assists in 2024-25, ranking third-best in the NBA with 29.7 assists per contest.
• Although Atlanta is averaging 15.8 turnovers per game (fourth-worst in NBA), it ranks fifth-best in the league by forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest.
• With 12.6 threes per game, the Hawks are 20th in the NBA. They own a 35.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 18th in the league.

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Heat Performance Insights

• The Heat score 111.3 points per game and allow 108.6, ranking them 19th in the NBA on offense and sixth defensively.
• Miami is 19th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.3) and 24th in rebounds conceded (45.2).
• This season the Heat are ranked 14th in the NBA in assists at 25.6 per game.
• Miami is the fourth-best team in the NBA in turnovers per game (12.5) and 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• Beyond the arc, the Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are fifth-best in 3-point percentage at 37.8%.

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