Saturday’s contest that pits the No. 1 Tennessee Volunteers (13-0, 0-0 SEC) versus the No. 23 Arkansas Razorbacks (11-2, 0-0 SEC) at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 76-66 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, who is the favorite in this matchup by our model. Game time is at 1:00 PM ET on January 4.

According to our computer prediction, Arkansas projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup versus Tennessee. The total is currently listed at 141.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -11.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -719, Arkansas +500

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Tennessee vs. Arkansas Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 76, Arkansas 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Arkansas

• Pick ATS: Arkansas (+11.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Tennessee is 9-4-0 against the spread this season compared to Arkansas’ 5-8-0 ATS record. The Volunteers are 5-8-0 and the Razorbacks are 6-7-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams average 162.6 points per game, 21.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 7-3 against the spread and 10-0 overall in its past 10 games, while Arkansas has gone 3-7 against the spread and 9-1 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers average 80.1 points per game (84th in college basketball) while allowing 56.2 per contest (second in college basketball). They have a +310 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 23.9 points per game.
• Tennessee wins the rebound battle by 10.7 boards on average. It collects 36.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 51st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 25.3 per outing.
• Tennessee connects on 8.8 three-pointers per game (105th in college basketball), 2.2 more than its opponents (6.6). It is shooting 35.5% from deep (112th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 24.6%.
• The Volunteers rank 26th in college basketball by averaging 106.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are second in college basketball, allowing 74.5 points per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee has committed 2.8 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 10.1 (55th in college basketball play) while forcing 12.9 (118th in college basketball).

Arkansas Performance Insights

• The Razorbacks are outscoring opponents by 17.0 points per game, with a +222 scoring differential overall. They put up 82.5 points per game (52nd in college basketball) and allow 65.5 per outing (48th in college basketball).
• Arkansas grabs 33.0 rebounds per game (185th in college basketball) while conceding 28.0 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.0 boards per game.
• Arkansas knocks down 8.1 three-pointers per game (156th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2. It shoots 36.8% from deep, and its opponents shoot 28.9%.
• Arkansas has committed 1.6 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 11.8 (205th in college basketball) while forcing 13.4 (77th in college basketball).

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