Tuesday’s game that pits the No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers (16-2, 3-2 SEC) against the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-3, 3-2 SEC) at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 76-68 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, who is the favorite in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 21.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi State projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup against Tennessee. The total has been set at 137.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -8.5
• Point total: 137.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -385, Mississippi State +300

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 76, Mississippi State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (137.5)

Tennessee is 11-7-0 against the spread, while Mississippi State’s ATS record this season is 9-9-0. The Volunteers have a 7-11-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Bulldogs have a record of 10-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score an average of 159.7 points per game, 22.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its last 10 contests, while Mississippi State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers are outscoring opponents by 18.0 points per game with a +325 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.8 points per game (128th in college basketball) and give up 58.8 per contest (fifth in college basketball).
• Tennessee wins the rebound battle by 9.3 boards on average. It records 35.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 50th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 26.2 per contest.
• Tennessee hits 8.7 three-pointers per game (97th in college basketball), 2.1 more than its opponents (6.6).
• The Volunteers rank 66th in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and second in college basketball defensively with 77.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee has committed 2.2 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 10.2 (58th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.4 (133rd in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 12.8 points per game, with a +230 scoring differential overall. They put up 82.9 points per game (25th in college basketball) and allow 70.1 per contest (136th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by an average of 6.1 boards. It grabs 37.4 rebounds per game (12th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.3.
• Mississippi State hits 8.6 three-pointers per game (104th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.3 on average.
• Mississippi State wins the turnover battle by 3.8 per game, committing 9.6 (25th in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.4.

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