Tennessee vs. Missouri Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 5
Published 5:48 pm Tuesday, February 4, 2025
Wednesday’s game at Thompson-Boling Arena has the No. 4 Tennessee Volunteers (18-4, 5-4 SEC) matching up with the No. 15 Missouri Tigers (17-4, 6-2 SEC) at 7:00 PM ET on February 5. Our computer prediction projects a 75-67 win for Tennessee, who are favored by our model.
According to our computer prediction, Missouri is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 9.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 134.5 total.
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Tennessee vs. Missouri Game Info & Odds
- Date: Wednesday, February 5, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: SEC Network
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
- Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
- Line: Tennessee -9.5
- Point total: 134.5
- Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -490, Missouri +365
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Tennessee vs. Missouri Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Tennessee 75, Missouri 67
Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Missouri
- Pick ATS: Missouri (+9.5)
- Pick OU: Over (134.5)
Tennessee is 14-8-0 against the spread this season compared to Missouri’s 12-8-0 ATS record. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Volunteers are 8-14-0 and the Tigers are 10-10-0. The two teams combine to score 157.9 points per game, 23.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its past 10 contests, while Missouri has gone 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 overall.
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Tennessee Performance Insights
- The Volunteers’ +350 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.5 points per game (180th in college basketball) while allowing 58.6 per outing (third in college basketball).
- Tennessee averages 35.2 rebounds per game (46th in college basketball) while allowing 27.3 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 7.9 boards per game.
- Tennessee makes 8.5 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball) at a 33.2% rate (223rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.7 per game its opponents make at a 26.0% rate.
- The Volunteers rank 103rd in college basketball with 99.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and second in college basketball defensively with 77.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- Tennessee wins the turnover battle by 2.3 per game, committing 9.8 (36th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.1.
Missouri Performance Insights
- The Tigers have a +311 scoring differential, topping opponents by 14.8 points per game. They’re putting up 83.4 points per game, 17th in college basketball, and are allowing 68.6 per contest to rank 88th in college basketball.
- Missouri wins the rebound battle by 2.4 boards on average. It records 32.1 rebounds per game, 195th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.7.
- Missouri hits 9.0 three-pointers per game (65th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents. It shoots 37.9% from beyond the arc (27th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 33.5%.
- Missouri has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.9 per game (136th in college basketball) while forcing 14.3 (28th in college basketball).
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