Tuesday’s game between the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (20-4, 7-4 SEC) and No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 5-5 SEC) squaring off at Rupp Arena has a projected final score of 75-74 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 7:00 PM ET on February 11.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup versus Tennessee. The over/under is currently listed at 149.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Tennessee -2.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -130, Kentucky +108

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 75, Kentucky 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)

Tennessee has a 15-9-0 record against the spread this season compared to Kentucky, who is 11-12-0 ATS. A total of nine out of the Volunteers’ games this season have gone over the point total, and 13 of the Wildcats’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 161.5 points per game, 12 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers are outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game with a +372 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.8 points per game (165th in college basketball) and allow 59.3 per contest (third in college basketball).
• Tennessee grabs 35.1 rebounds per game (47th in college basketball) while conceding 27 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.1 boards per game.
• Tennessee knocks down 8.6 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball), 1.7 more than its opponents (6.9).
• The Volunteers average 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (91st in college basketball), and give up 79 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
• Tennessee has won the turnover battle by 1.5 turnovers per game, committing 10.2 (73rd in college basketball play) while forcing 11.7 (165th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats outscore opponents by 10.1 points per game (posting 86.7 points per game, third in college basketball, and conceding 76.6 per outing, 307th in college basketball) and have a +234 scoring differential.
• Kentucky ranks 27th in the country at 35.9 rebounds per game. That’s four more than the 31.9 its opponents average.
• Kentucky hits 10.1 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) at a 37.9% rate (24th in college basketball), compared to the 8.6 per game its opponents make, at a 30% rate.
• Kentucky forces 9.2 turnovers per game (346th in college basketball) while committing 9.8 (41st in college basketball).

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