Thursday’s game between the No. 16 Tennessee Volunteers (13-1) and No. 6 LSU Tigers (17-0) squaring off at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 81-77 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, who is listed as a slight favorite by our model. The game will begin at 6:30 PM ET on January 9.

Based on our computer prediction, Tennessee projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against LSU. The over/under has been set at 169.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Tennessee vs. LSU Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -1.5
• Point total: 169.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -125, LSU +105

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Tennessee vs. LSU Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 81, LSU 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. LSU

• Pick ATS: Tennessee (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (169.5)

Tennessee’s record against the spread so far this season is 3-2-0, and LSU’s is 4-6-0. The Volunteers are 3-2-0 and the Tigers are 6-4-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams score 189.1 points per game, 19.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 3-2 against the spread and 4-1 overall in its past 10 games, while LSU has gone 4-6 against the spread and 10-0 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers’ +419 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 29.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 97.3 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 67.4 per outing (258th in college basketball).
• Tennessee is 12th in the nation at 39.6 rebounds per game. That’s 9.8 more than the 29.8 its opponents average.
• Tennessee hits 7.3 more threes per game than the opposition, 12.1 (first in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 4.8.
• The Volunteers rank eighth in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 42nd in college basketball defensively with 70.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee has committed 10.6 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 14.8 (119th in college basketball action) while forcing 25.4 (second in college basketball).

LSU Performance Insights

• The Tigers are outscoring opponents by 32 points per game, with a +543 scoring differential overall. They put up 91.8 points per game (third in college basketball) and give up 59.8 per contest (92nd in college basketball).
• The 46.1 rebounds per game LSU accumulates rank first in the country, 17 more than the 29.1 its opponents pull down.
• LSU hits 1.6 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 5 (281st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
• LSU has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 14.5 per game (103rd in college basketball) while forcing 17.9 (88th in college basketball).

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