Saturday’s contest at Moody Center has the No. 1 Tennessee Volunteers (14-1, 1-1 SEC) going head-to-head against the Texas Longhorns (11-4, 0-2 SEC) at 6:00 PM (on January 11). Our computer prediction projects a 73-68 win for Tennessee, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Texas is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 6.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 132.5 over/under.

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Tennessee vs. Texas Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Austin, Texas
• Venue: Moody Center
• Line: Tennessee -6.5
• Point total: 132.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -275, Texas +220

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Tennessee vs. Texas Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 73, Texas 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Texas

• Pick ATS: Texas (+6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (132.5)

Tennessee has a 10-5-0 record against the spread this season compared to Texas, who is 8-7-0 ATS. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Volunteers are 5-10-0 and the Longhorns are 9-6-0. The teams score 160 points per game, 27.5 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall over the last 10 contests. Texas has gone 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers average 77.3 points per game (132nd in college basketball) while allowing 57.1 per contest (second in college basketball). They have a +304 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 20.2 points per game.
• Tennessee prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 9.7 boards. It is collecting 36.5 rebounds per game (30th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 26.8 per contest.
• Tennessee hits 8.6 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball), 2.1 more than its opponents (6.5). It is shooting 34.0% from beyond the arc (170th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 24.6%.
• The Volunteers average 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (69th in college basketball), and allow 75.0 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
• Tennessee has committed 10.3 turnovers per game (66th in college basketball action), 2.6 fewer than the 12.9 it forces on average (105th in college basketball).

Texas Performance Insights

• The Longhorns are outscoring opponents by 17.8 points per game, with a +267 scoring differential overall. They put up 82.7 points per game (38th in college basketball) and allow 64.9 per contest (38th in college basketball).
• The 33.9 rebounds per game Texas accumulates rank 122nd in college basketball, 4.4 more than the 29.5 its opponents grab.
• Texas hits 2.0 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.3 (132nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.3.
• Texas has won the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 9.1 (ninth in college basketball) while forcing 11.6 (213th in college basketball).

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